Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.005863 0.006463 0.007083 0.007770 0.008509 0.009279 0.010141
2025-02-02 0.004873 0.005729 0.006658 0.007735 0.008947 0.010263 0.011796
2025-02-09 0.004249 0.005241 0.006357 0.007694 0.009247 0.010982 0.013060
2025-02-16 0.003898 0.005003 0.006283 0.007859 0.009735 0.011880 0.014503
2025-02-23 0.003487 0.004647 0.006027 0.007771 0.009893 0.012370 0.015457
2025-03-02 0.003194 0.004403 0.005878 0.007783 0.010148 0.012959 0.016519
2025-03-09 0.003055 0.004338 0.005936 0.008039 0.010694 0.013896 0.018005
2025-03-16 0.002863 0.004185 0.005868 0.008124 0.011019 0.014560 0.019165
2025-03-23 0.002722 0.004088 0.005862 0.008278 0.011426 0.015326 0.020455
2025-03-30 0.002606 0.004016 0.005879 0.008457 0.011861 0.016129 0.021801
2025-04-06 0.002377 0.003772 0.005653 0.008302 0.011853 0.016362 0.022423
2025-04-13 0.002228 0.003629 0.005554 0.008307 0.012047 0.016852 0.023375
2025-04-20 0.002042 0.003427 0.005369 0.008194 0.012089 0.017155 0.024107
2025-04-27 0.001899 0.003278 0.005250 0.008167 0.012243 0.017605 0.025040
2025-05-04 0.001764 0.003132 0.005127 0.008124 0.012369 0.018016 0.025920
2025-05-11 0.001702 0.003093 0.005156 0.008295 0.012792 0.018827 0.027342
2025-05-18 0.001572 0.002940 0.005008 0.008203 0.012839 0.019129 0.028083
2025-05-25 0.001481 0.002842 0.004935 0.008216 0.013032 0.019627 0.029092
2025-06-01 0.001458 0.002855 0.005033 0.008483 0.013591 0.020637 0.030810
2025-06-08 0.001395 0.002795 0.005014 0.008572 0.013893 0.021293 0.032051
2025-06-15 0.001352 0.002768 0.005043 0.008733 0.014301 0.022101 0.033512
2025-06-22 0.001317 0.002752 0.005089 0.008919 0.014749 0.022970 0.035067
2025-06-29 0.001211 0.002604 0.004915 0.008757 0.014674 0.023097 0.035587